Wednesday, January 19, 2011

BULLETIN: China's economy grows 10.3% in 2010, above 10.2% forecast; Dec. consumer inflation +4.6%.

For more information, go to MarketWatch www.marketwatch.com

Thursday, January 13, 2011

Pricier new launches ahead

Business Times: More developers see higher prices for new home launches
By EMILYN YAP

Developers' outlook for the property sector turned rosier in the fourth quarter last year, with a larger proportion of them predicting higher prices for new residential launches.

Preliminary findings from the Real Estate Sentiment Index (RESI) point to improved sentiment from the third quarter, when the industry was still coming to terms with the impact of property market cooling measures introduced on Aug 30.

Based on survey responses so far, the Current Sentiment Index stood at 5.6 in Q4, up from 4.8 in Q3. For this category, respondents rate overall Singapore real estate market conditions now compared with six months ago.

The Future Sentiment Index - where respondents rate overall property market conditions over the next six months - rose to 5.7 in Q4 from 4.8 in Q3.

While the index readings rose in Q4, they did not surpass the levels seen in Q1 and Q2.

Developers were also asked for their take on the primary residential market, and a majority of the respondents thought more launches and moderate price increases were possible.

In Q4, 60 per cent of respondents believed that unit prices would be moderately higher. In Q3, just 12 per cent thought so.
Spottiswoode Residences, Waterview and Robinson Suites were some which reported strong sales.

Some industry watchers also reckoned that the sector's confidence grew as the impact of the tightening measures became clearer.

A Hong Leong spokesman told BT: 'While we took a cautious outlook immediately following the August 2010 cooling measures, buyer demand continued to remain strong for the group's various projects.' Low interest rates and liquidity in the market contributed to the demand, he said.

In the ongoing Q4 RESI survey, 69 per cent of respondents identified demand-side measures from the government as a potential risk to market sentiment.

Although this proportion is less than Q3's 83 per cent, it is still big enough to make state intervention the second most feared risk.

A possible slowdown in the global economy was the industry's top worry - 70 per cent of respondents said in Q4 that this was a potential risk. This is markedly higher than the 56 per cent a quarter ago.

(This is only an excerpt, for the full article please subscribe at http://businesstimes.com.sg)

Sunday, January 9, 2011

Market Talk: CapitaLand

Below is an excerpt from
Straits Times: No shoebox flats for CapitaLand
By Cheryl Lim published on MON, JAN 10, 2011.

"At CapitaLand Residential Singapore, chief executive Wong Heang Fine noted that changing market dynamics would inevitably lead to smaller homes, but he stressed that the firm would not build flats under 500 sq ft. He said its focus for the year ahead would be on replenishing its land bank.

It has 2,500 launch-ready homes that have yet to be released for sale. It will launch 1,700 units this year, with the majority entering the market over the next three months.

At d'Leedon, more units will be released this year - 750 - with the first batch being rolled out this week. The remaining 390 units at The Interlace will be released soon after, followed by 55 luxury homes at The Nassim. Some of the 500 units set aside for the new development at the Bedok Town Centre site will also be launched this year, during the second or third quarter.

In addition, the 64 homes from the Urban Resort project at Cairnhill Road will come on stream this year. Units at both Urban Resort and The Nassim will be sold through private appointments.

Mr Liew indicated that CapitaLand had its eye on several collective-sale sites. He said it was also keen on residential sites - on both the confirmed and reserved lists - offered as part of the first half of this year's Government Land Sales programme.

Sites at the city fringe or near MRT stations would be high on CapitaLand's wish list.
Still, Mr Wong and Mr Liew agreed that even though CapitaLand's balance sheet was healthy enough to allow it to bid for all the sites it was interested in, it would do so with 'disciplined aggression'.

CapitaLand predicts that home prices are likely to increase by 5 to 10 per cent this year, with those in the high-end segment rising by 10 to 15 per cent.

Its optimism with regard to this segment has spurred it to market projects such as The Interlace in China and India.

It does not believe government measures will be introduced to curb foreign interest in the high-end market.

'Singapore is a very open economy. If we start to have such restrictions, it would destroy the image we have of being an open economy,' said Mr Liew."

Friday, December 24, 2010

High-end Homes Lure Institutional Investors

Straits Times: High-end homes lure institutional investors

By Esther Teo

Institutional investors have become more active in the high-end home market, with the segment trading at a discount to its peak.

The Straits Times understands that 20 units at Paterson Suites were snapped up by Singapore-based investment fund Real Estate Capital Asia Partners (Recap) last month at an average price of $2,700 per sq ft (psf).

Recap is believed to have paid $118 million for the 20 four-bedroom apartments across the 2nd to 21st storeys with a total strata area of about 44,000 sq ft.

The price represents a discount of about a 10 to 15per cent on what the units would have cost individually, sources said.

The fund's substantial purchase has helped boost total sales at the high-end condo to 64 out of its 102 units as of last month. Bukit Sembawang's Paterson Suites was launched in 2007 and completed in the third quarter.

Property consultancy Savills is believed to have brokered the deal but could not be reached for comment yesterday.

The Straits Times previously reported that 38 of the 41 units sold in total at Paterson Suites last month were bought by a handful of private investors. The 41 units sold at a median price of $2,661 psf last month.

The 20 units that Recap bought were part of the 38 units sold.

Experts believe that increasing interest in the high- end apartment segment is likely to be due to prices of such homes languishing below their 2007 peaks, providing an opportunity for capital gain. Also, the Singdollar, which is expected to strengthen further, provides investors with an opportunity for currency gain, further sweetening the deal, they added.

Excerpt from Straits Times FRI, DEC 24, 2010.

Monday, December 20, 2010

Completing soon

The Ritz-Carlton Residences had it's 'topping out' ceremony yesterday where guests and staff  of the developer, KOP Properties, gathered on the roof of the 36-storey development's penthouse to witness the pouring of the final bit of cement.

Leny Suparman, its chief executive, is upbeat about the prospects of Singapore's luxury residential market.

The 58-unit Ritz-Carlton Residences, located at Cairnhill Road, is about 40 per cent sold and units are now selling for about $3,300 per square foot (psf) each, Ms Suparman said.

Ms Suparman said that sales will pick up as the project nears completion, which is targeted for June next year: 'We are quite confident that sales will be brisk from now on and that the project will achieve the price that it deserves.'

The developer's other project, the 56-unit The Hamilton Scotts, is also about 40 per cent sold, Ms Suparman said.

KOP Properties is part of KOP Group, an integrated real asset investment company. KOP Group is 51 per cent owned by Dubai Group, a unit of Dubai Holdings.

Adapted from the Business Times, Tuesday, December 21, 2010. 

Friday, December 17, 2010

Straits Times: Europe's stiff rules spell bonus for Asia

By Gabriel Chen
Bank talent, even banks, may be driven to Singapore and Hong Kong by moves to curb bonuses.

Bankers reckon the likes of HSBC and Standard Chartered may want to move their corporate headquarters to Asia to avoid applying the rules to their large numbers of employees located outside Europe.

*Note: Excerpt only, please refer to www.straitstimes.com for the complete article.

This will certainly benefit Singapore and Hong Kong. Moreover, the personal income and corporate tax rates are far more attractive than the European countries. Attracting these banks here will also give a boost to GDP and luxury-end property prices. Prices of these properties in Singapore still have some catching up to do with respect to other financial centers like London and New York. -Farrand

Sunday, December 12, 2010

London Bankers to Spend $1.6 Billion of Bonus Payout on Homes

Source: Bloomberg
Dec. 10 (Bloomberg) -- London bankers and other financial- services employees will spend about 1 billion pounds ($1.6 billion) of their 2010 bonus money on homes in the U.K. capital, 17 percent less than last year, Savills Plc said.

The purchases may not stop prices of London luxury homes from falling next year, though the drop probably won't exceed 1 percent, Savills said in a statement. Values rose about 2 percent this year, helped in part by approximately 1.2 billion pounds of 2009 bonus money, the broker estimates.

This year's payments won't trigger a "measurable price rise as seen in the past," Yolande Barnes, head of residential research at the London-based property adviser, said in the statement. "Rather, we anticipate that bonus money will be fed into the market over a longer time period."

Bonus-earners typically account for half of the buyers of London homes costing more than 1 million pounds, according to Savills. Record payouts in 2006 and 2007 -- which the Centre for Economics & Business Research says totaled 11.5 billion pounds each year -- sent property values surging to all-time highs in neighborhoods such as Chelsea, Belgravia and Kensington.

The CEBR expects bonuses for the 300,000 financial-services workers in London to total 7 billion pounds before taxes in 2010, about 5 percent less than in 2009, according to Savills's report.

Companies have slashed bonuses to weather the global financial crisis. They're also now deferring payments or offering shares in response to pressure from politicians and regulators. Since April, the tax rate for incomes exceeding 150,000 pounds increased to 50 percent from 40 percent.

Deferred Payments

"General caution and the method and timing of the payouts mean that only a portion will be invested in property," Barnes said. That means home sales in the second quarter, which is usually when bonuses for the previous year get paid, are unlikely to jump, she said.

Though the amount of 2010 bonus money expected to be spent on property has shrunk, deferred bonus payments from previous years or money from increased salaries may also go into real estate, Barnes said.

Lindsay Cuthill, head of Savills's southwest London sales offices, said the broker has started receiving the first offers from purchasers anticipating bonuses after viewings in November increased fourfold from October.

"We're seeing buyers circling properties" in the 2.5 million-pound price band, he said.

Battersea, Chiswick

Changes in bonus pools have the most effect on real estate in southwest London. Owner-occupiers employed in banking and financial services tend to favor neighborhoods such as Battersea, Wimbledon and Chiswick because of the relatively high proportion of family homes and good schools.

Prices in this part of London rose 12 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, the biggest gain in Britain, Savills estimates. Prime property here costs an average of about 1.3 million pounds, less than the 2 million pounds or more needed to buy a similar home in central London.

Bonuses have been less of a driving force for prime residential property values in central London. Overseas buyers have been lured to those neighborhoods by the pound's weakness and price declines during the height of the financial crisis.

Savills estimates that 60 percent of prime central London property purchases are made by people outside the U.K.

Competition for a limited number of luxury homes for sale has limited the price decline since the peak to 5 percent, said Liam Bailey, head of residential research at competitor Knight Frank LLP. The number sold in the second and third quarters was 30 percent less than the same periods in 2007.